By Rudy Barnes, jr., February 8, 2025
You’re probably famiIiar with the Marshall Plan to rebuild Europe after WWII. That came to my mind on Tuesday when Trump announced his plan to rebuild war-torn Gaza as a Mideast Riviera. Trump’s announcement shocked the world--not just Hamas, who initiated the war and hasn’t yet acknowledged defeat, but also the Palestinians who would be forced to move.
It’s an understatement to say it’s another Trump global political disruption that may or may not benefit Trump. Hamas started the war killing over 1,000 Jews, but Israel’s Netanyahu has been accused of genocide for killing over 45,000 Palestinians during the war, with Biden providing Israel with massive bombs that have killed most civilian Palestinians.
“As outlandish and unworkable as Mr. Trump’s proposal on Tuesday may seem, it may force the sides to reconsider long-held positions, stir things up dramatically and lead to new openings. But the forced relocation of two million Palestinians from Gaza to countries like Egypt and Jordan that are fiercely opposed to taking them — is not going to happen.”
“Trump is a man who doesn’t want any new military commitments, and now he wants to move two million people who don’t want to go to places that don’t want them. The important thing with Trump is to pick out the real issues and deflect the stupid ones.” And Trump’s stupid issues, like this one, far outweigh the real issues.
It’s an issue that Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has always dodged. He has refused to engage on the question of who will rule Gaza after the conflict since it would undermine his governing coalition, which depends on far-right parties that want to resettle Gaza with Israelis.
“Trump has described the forced relocation of two million Palestinians from Gaza to countries like Egypt and Jordan that are fiercely opposed to taking them. It’s not going to happen,” said Lawrence Freedman. With Trump the real issues need to be distinguished from the stupid ones, like this one.”
Hamas started the war on October 7, 2023 that has devastated Gaza, and Israel has killed nearly 50,000 Palestinian civilians and combatants since then. Despite vowing to destroy Hamas and dismantle its control over Gaza, Israel has not achieved either goal, leading Mr. Netanyahu’s coalition to demand that the war continue after the current cease-fire.
Trump has failed to address one of the biggest problems with his dream, vowing to destroy Hamas and dismantle its control over Gaza. “Israel has not achieved either goal, leading key far-right members of Mr. Netanyahu’s coalition to demand that the war continue after Phase 1 of the current cease-fire.” There’s no end of the Mideast war in sight.
Notes:
See https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/06/world/europe/trump-gaza-hamas-palestinians.html.
“Trump officials have already backtracked on some of his proposals, saying that any population transfer would be temporary. But Hamas has made it clear it is going nowhere, and presumably it would fight American troops as it fought Israeli ones. As Basem Naim, a member of the group’s political bureau, said in a statement denouncing the Trump proposal, what Mr. Netanyahu failed to do with the support of President Joseph R. Biden Jr. — “to displace the residents of the Gaza Strip” in “carrying out genocide against our people” — “no new administration will succeed in implementing.”
“Even if nothing comes of Mr. Trump’s proposal, just floating it now is threatening the stability of Jordan and Egypt, two crucial allies in the Middle East with the longest history of diplomatic relations with Israel and, thus, is “strategically incomprehensible,” said Tom Phillips, a former British ambassador to Israel and Saudi Arabia.
Egypt may have more acreage and is in desperate need of American financial aid, but its president, Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, is a fierce opponent of Islamist radicalism, which he has tried to stamp out brutally in the Sinai, and of the Muslim Brotherhood, of which Hamas is a part. The notion that he would allow “hundreds of thousands of people supporting Hamas into Egypt” is unthinkable, Mr. Milshtein said.
Even at the height of the fighting, Mr. el-Sisi created a walled-off area near the border with Gaza in case Gazans were pressed into Egypt, to prevent them from going any farther. And Egypt, which considers itself the most important Arab country, would not want to be seen as being pushed around by Washington.
Christoph Heusgen, recalled that Jared Kushner, Mr. Trump’s son-in-law, talked of Gaza as great real estate last year, but then suggested resettling Gazans in Israel, in the Negev. Arab countries will simply refuse a population transfer, he said, “and the only other way is military force, and that’s genocide.” The Saudis are demanding a Palestinian state that Mr. Netanyahu opposes, and Mr. Trump “says he wants out of conflicts,” not to send American troops into another one, Mr. Heusgen said. “It seems dead on arrival,” he said.
Mr. Trump was silent on the future of an independent Palestinian state, which has become a crucial demand of Saudi Arabia after the destruction and death in Gaza. The Saudis were quick to oppose Mr. Trump’s plan in a statement overnight, and made it clear that any normalization with Israel, as Mr. Trump wants to promote, is dependent on concrete steps toward a viable independent Palestinian state, including Gaza. That is exactly the outcome that Mr. Netanyahu has vowed to prevent. “The Trump proposal also overshadowed the real and present problem in Gaza: whether Israel and Hamas will succeed in moving past this first phase of their cease-fire agreement to the much tougher second phase, which would involve Israeli concessions that Mr. Netanyahu has been so far unwilling to make. His coalition partners have vowed to bring down the government if he makes them and effectively ends the war with Hamas still standing.
Whether Mr. Trump, by his proposal, has helped Mr. Netanyahu assuage his partners remains to be seen — as well as whether Mr. Trump keeps the pressure on Mr. Netanyahu to make that deal regardless of the political cost.”